Previous treaties cost $25-50M to get signatures. Even at 5% success probability, a 1% health treaty is 30,000x more cost-effective than anti-malaria bed nets. The downside is a yacht. The upside is no more disease.
Politics
13 posts in this category
The maximum cost to reform all US policy is $25.5 billion. The return is $84.8 quadrillion. That's an 84.8 million:1 ROI. The real question isn't can we afford it, but why haven't we bought it.
A manual for ending war and disease using financial incentives, pragmatic trials, and the radical assumption that humans respond to money. Spoiler: they do. 10.7 billion lives at stake.
Civilization runs at 51.9% efficiency. The governance gap costs $101 trillion/year—$50,500 per household. We're leaving $1.16M per person on the table because meetings run long.
What if saving millions of lives was a good investment? IABs pay 272% ROI to investors who bribe politicians into doing their jobs. Global household wealth is $454T. Opposition is $5T. Do the maths.
Voter preferences have near-zero effect on policy. Citizens want 45:1 medical research vs military spending, but get the reverse. RAPPA fixes this with a slider and a dream.
The US spends 3% more of GDP on government than Switzerland yet lives 6.5 fewer years. What if we just... looked at what works elsewhere and did that? Causal inference says yes.
46,000+ country-years of policy data. 3,500+ US state-years. Centuries of natural experiments we've never analysed. The OPG just asks: what worked? Then suggests doing that.
Harvard study shows 3.5% active participation changes society. Not clicking "like." Actual showing up. Your government publishes the percentage needed.
87% of Democrats and 62% of Republicans both predicted they'd win same election. Math doesn't work. Brain lies to you wearing statistics costume.
Democracies doubled, autocracies halved in 60 years. Progress measured by fewer countries where one person decides if you die. Bar is underground.
Your vote has 0.00001% chance of mattering. Car accident driving to polls has 0.002% chance. You're 200X more likely to get injured than change outcome.
Political platform asks "what if you tried helping people instead of signaling tribal affiliation?" Uses third-grade math. Revolutionary, apparently.