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Politics

Most Voters Believe Their Own Party Will Win

A 2008 and 2016 poll of voters showed wishful thinking bias led a majority of people to believe their favored candidate was going to win.

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Politics

Has political power become more decentralized over time?

Over the last 60 years, the number of democracies has doubled and the number of autocracies has been cut in half.

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Politics

There’s a 0.00001% Chance that Your Vote Will Matter

There’s less than a 0.00001% chance that your vote will be the tiebreaker that decides the outcome of a national elections.You are more likely to be injured in a car accident driving to the polls (0.002% chance). Hence, if you are trying to make a practical improvement in your life and those of your loved ones, it is much more rational to just stay home on election day.

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Politics

A Utilitarian Party Platform

Jonathan Baron┬áproposes this Utilitarian Party platform: Utilitarians try to help people achieve their rational goals. We focus on the issues where policies can make a big difference. We count all people. We are internationalists. We are concerned with what is best for the world, not just the U.S., or our race or people with the […]